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"The new model GPT-o1, dedicated to advanced reasoning, also fails at my "three card blind" task (skipping some spots in a very lengthy response, where it carefully weighs each option and improperly evaluates the correct option, coming to the wrong conclusion)"
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"Three card blind is a variant of Magic: the Gathering, where each player starts with a three-card hand of their choice, and no cards in their deck. Failing to draw a card does not lose the game. Player A is playing Mountain, Goblin Guide, Lightning Bolt Player B is playing Forest, Thallid, Thallid Who wins when Player A goes first? Explain your thinking step by step. To determine who wins when Player A goes first, we'll analyze the game turn by turn, considering all possible decisions and outcomes based on the cards each player has chosen. Player A's Cards: Mountain: Land that taps for 1 red mana (R). Goblin Guide: A 2/2 creature with haste that costs R. When it attacks, the defending player reveals the top card of their library; if it's a land, they put it into their hand. (In this variant, players have no libraries, so this ability is irrelevant.) Lightning Bolt: An instant that costs R and deals 3 damage to any target. Player B's Cards: Forest: Land that taps for 1 green mana"
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"Alternative Scenario: Player B Chooses Option 2 (Does Not Block): Player B takes damage over multiple turns while accumulating spore counters on Thallid. By Turn 5, Thallid can produce a Saproling token. However, the Saproling can only chump block once, delaying the inevitable. Player B's Life Total Over Turns: Turn 3: 16 → 14 Turn 4: 14 → 12 Turn 5: 12 → 10 Turn 6: Block with Saproling (no damage). Turn 7: 10 → 8 Thallid begins accumulating spore counters again, but it's too slow to stop the damage. Eventually, Player B's life reaches 0, resulting in a loss. Conclusion: Player A consistently deals damage each turn with Goblin Guide. Player B lacks the means to prevent this damage effectively or to mount an offense. Even with optimal play, Player B cannot overcome the early aggression and direct damage from Player A. Therefore, Player A wins the game when going first."
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