Record🤔

uri:

"at://did:plc:dmjuau7irhg2lg72ty6sofpa/app.bsky.feed.post/3l3pv7iyo6e2x"

cid:

"bafyreidtkmwv65gaan5ecfkefppjhdptc5lwok2jf3ueurt42ad3tamfcu"

value:

text:

"@nataliej.bsky.social has written about this issue and her own experience. Id recommend everyone give that a read for some perspective."

$type:

"app.bsky.feed.post"

embed:

$type:

"app.bsky.embed.external"

external:

uri:

"https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/poll-based-election-forecasts-will-always-struggle-with-uncertainty/"

title:

"Poll-Based Election Forecasts Will Always Struggle With Uncertainty - Sabato's Crystal Ball"

description:

"KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — We have no idea how much uncertainty exists in pre-election polls. That leads to very complex poll-based forecast models. — The general public lacks the expertise necess..."

langs:

• "en"

reply:

root:

cid:

"bafyreiebhjqsmghyrnbtt4uz32rxrupwbb5ex3g2ihvmbkcge7rqk4xtci"

uri:

"at://did:plc:dmjuau7irhg2lg72ty6sofpa/app.bsky.feed.post/3l3oskseils2a"

parent:

cid:

"bafyreibfcfvcr5awc4qvvax5y3gik524vvfmsiizmoeq3slug3yceoxzna"

uri:

"at://did:plc:dmjuau7irhg2lg72ty6sofpa/app.bsky.feed.post/3l3put5dxgw2w"

facets:

• $type:

  "app.bsky.richtext.facet"

  index:

  byteEnd:

  21

  byteStart:

  0

  features:

  • did:

    "did:plc:d5fzyvsevikwt4jl7rkvsdp5"

    $type:

    "app.bsky.richtext.facet#mention"

createdAt:

"2024-09-09T12:21:12.961Z"